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[8348] Hajime Hoji (→ [14315]) Feb/03/2002 (Sun) 01:53
When a prediction fails to be confirmed
The following remarks by Poincaré were quoted in earlier versions of my Lingua paper but not included in the final version.

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c The physicist who has just given up one of his hypotheses should, on the contrary, rejoice, for he found an unexpected opportunity of discovery. His hypothesis, I imagine, had not been lightly adopted. It took into account all the known factors which seem capable of intervention in the phenomenon. If it is not verified, it is because there is something unexpected and extraordinary about it, because we are on the point of finding something unknown and new. Has the hypothesis thus rejected been sterile? Far from it. It may be even said that it has rendered more service than a true hypothesis. Not only has it been the occasion of a decisive experiment, but if this experiment had been made by chance, without the hypothesis, no conclusion could have been seen; and only one fact the more would have been catalogued, without deducing from it the remotest consequence. (Poincaré 1952: chap. 9, 150-151)
***

References :
[14315] Hajime Hoji Nov/12/2003 (14:19)Lingua -- Methodological Remarks --